Venus Retrograde and Bitcoin
H004Bonferroni-adjusted threshold: p < 0.00132. Observed: p < 0.0000003. Passes by three orders of magnitude.
38 hypotheses tested against 28,658 observations. Two survived Bonferroni correction. Everything is published — including the nulls.
Methodology: Two-sample Welch's t-test with Bonferroni correction for family-wise error (38 simultaneous tests, adjusted threshold: p < 0.00132). Planetary positions via Swiss Ephemeris. Financial data from Yahoo Finance and CoinGecko. Dataset: January 2015 through February 2026. All code and data will be open-sourced.
Bonferroni-adjusted threshold: p < 0.00132. Observed: p < 0.0000003. Passes by three orders of magnitude.
Bonferroni-adjusted threshold: p < 0.00132. Observed: p < 0.0000005. Passes by three orders of magnitude.
Every hypothesis we tested, including the ones that showed nothing. Transparency is non-negotiable.
| ID | Hypothesis | Asset | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| H001 | Mercury Rx reduces BTC returns | BTC | Null |
| H002 | Mercury Rx reduces ETH returns | ETH | Null |
| H003 | Mercury Rx reduces SPY returns | SPY | Null |
| H004 | Venus Rx reduces BTC returns | BTC | Bonferroni Sig |
| H005 | Venus Rx reduces ETH returns | ETH | Preliminary |
| H006 | Venus Rx reduces SPY returns | SPY | Null |
| H007-H012 | Mars/Jupiter/Saturn Rx effects | Various | Null |
| H013-H016 | Eclipse window volatility | Various | Preliminary |
| H017-H020 | Full/New Moon returns | Various | Null |
| H021 | Cardinal ingress ETH returns | ETH | Preliminary |
| H022 | Cardinal ingress BTC returns | BTC | Preliminary |
| H023 | Cardinal ingress SPY returns | SPY | Null |
| H024-H028 | Individual aspect effects | Various | Null |
| H029 | High aspect density reduces vol | BTC | Bonferroni Sig |
| H030-H034 | Planetary speed anomalies | Various | Null |
| H035-H038 | Earthquake-ingress correlations | N/A | Preliminary |